Recently I got a chance to read Tobias J. Moskowitz and L. Jon Wertheim's book, Scorecasting: The Hidden Influences Behind How Sports are Played and Games are Won. For those that regularly read this blog you know I enjoy statistics and looking at the break down of them when it comes to the game. Moskowitz and Wertheim take an incredibly deep look into statistics and break down many of the stereotypes of sports that most fans think of. They use statistics to challenge many of the the cliches and thought processes of sports.
The two look at all sports, but also look at soccer specifically at different times of the book. The main part being when they discuss home field advantage. In their study, the two found that soccer leagues around the world have some of the best home field advantages. But their studying finds that it's not some of the things fans think. They break down myths that the home support, travel, scheduling, and teams designed to take advantage of unique home characteristics. Each time backing them up with statistical analysis that is hard to argue with. The one point that I do struggle with in this part, is the way they went about establishing a base, when it came to the home support they used only situations that were the same from game to game, things like free throws in basketball or kicking in football. I think that's a very minimal sample to use when discussing home field advantage. The best thing that I can think of to counter would be offside, false start, timeouts called in football games because of crowd noise. I just think that they don't do enough in regards to dispelling the home crowd.
They do say the home crowd does play a part, but more so because they influence the referee. Moskowitz and Wertheim combine their statistics with psychology studies. From soccer referees giving more stoppage time when the home team is losing to baseball umpires giving home teams more balls when they are trailing. It's really a great look into how referees can be affected in games.
Speaking of the referee, they also looking to the "whistle swallowing" that referees do in big moments of the game. Mainly they find that this is because they don't to be the ones that decide the game, and the idea of the omission bias.
The book also works to try to break coaches of their cautionary attitude. They use the example of a football coach who ran the numbers and found that in high school he was better off never punting the football, going for it all the time on fourth down, never return punts, and always do an onside kick. It's crazy how they back all this up with facts to show why the coach that does this feels he is right. They give the main reason why coaches don't take many risks like this, and it's due to a lack of job security. For local KC people it kind of justifies Chiefs coach Todd Haley going for it on 4th down as many times as he does during the season.
They also discuss the theory of "icing" players or feeding the hot hand. They find that icing doesn't really work against players getting ready to kick crucial field goals or free throws. In regards to feeding the hot hand, they explain that no player is more likely to make their next shot than any other player.
Overall Scorecasting is a great read for anyone that enjoys statistics and sports in regards to breaking down the sports you love. Still you find yourself wanting to argue with them throughout the book as they go through breaking down different beliefs that you have in sports. But when you have the facts to back them up it's hard to argue their point.
Showing posts with label review. Show all posts
Showing posts with label review. Show all posts
Monday, February 07, 2011
Monday, July 20, 2009
The Beckham Experiment
Everyone in American soccer has been talking about Grant Wahl's book, "The Beckham Experiment" and everything involved with it. I was given the chance a few weeks ago to get a copy of the book and review it. With the game against David Beckham and the Galaxy coming up I figured it was the perfect time to get my review of the book out.
Wahl gives a view into not just the LA Galaxy front office, but gives a great look into MLS as a whole in the book. The best part about the league as a whole was the look into the lives of the players on the other end of the pay scale, mainly told through Alan Gordon. Unlike Beckham, Gordon played on a non guaranteed contract, lived in an apartment with 2 other players, and eventually borrowed money from his girlfriend so that he could move into a different apartment. Wahl does a great job of showing the contrasts between the life of Beckham and the lives of most of the rest of his teammates. He regularly throws out the paltry developmental player salary that players make and how those players are working extra jobs just so that they can make rent payments.
Still, the best insight in the book is into the Galaxy front office and the craziness not just from the Beckham signing in general. One of the more interesting things in my mind, was that former Galaxy GM, Alexi Lalas turned down a trade that would have brought Kyle Beckerman to LA for Peter Vagenas and a draft pick, because Lalas and Vagenas were good friends. In Beckham's first season, the issues with Beckham come from all sides as Lalas, 19 Entertainment, Tim Leiweke, the CEO of the Galaxy ownership, and even Beckham himself. Playing when his ankle was clearly well below 100%, playing 3 games in 3 time zones in 6 days as he traveled from New York to London to LA to continue his England career.
In his second season, the "villainy" for the problems with the Galaxy switch to mainly being the meddling of Beckham's handlers, mainly 19 Entertainment and best friend Terry Byrne. Lalas goes from being a villain himself to being undercut by the work of Beckham's handlers. Reading the process that led to the hiring of Ruud Gullit, it was amazing how that hiring was all on the back of Byrne and 19 Entertainment as Lalas was left entirely out of the situation. Wahl almost makes you feel sorry for Lalas about that situation and much of the 2008 season.
Most people have read Landon Donovan's comments made about Beckham that has caused the whole media situation around those two, but Donovan's disagreeing with Lalas in the 2007 season was just as interesting. First the whole issue with Donovan giving up the captain's arm band to Beckham after being pushed by Lalas (who was first pushed by Beckham's handlers). Then later in the season when Lalas goes against the media vote for team MVP and gives the award instead to Chris Klein. Issues that make Donovan seem like a victim of Beckham while at the same time, making him come off as a whiner and every bit of the Landycakes persona that people give him crap for.
There are even mentions of the two games in the 2008 season against the Wizards. During the game in LA, Wahl talks about Gullit calling out Donovan during the half time speech and Donovan becoming pissed about the situation and Beckham not coming to his defense as the captain. After the home game against LA, Wahl talks about Bruce Arena's preceived mistake of playing both Donovan and Beckham so soon after an international break.
Overall, I absolutely loved this book and the insight it gives. Wahl does a great job of capturing everything that seemed to be going on with the team at the time. My one complaint isn't about the writing, but more about how the book ends. Throughout Wahl talks about whether the "Beckham Experiment" will work or fail, but in the end you get no answer. This, though, is mainly due to the fact that the entire experiment isn't over yet, although from the quotes from players in the book, they believe it will end after this season.
Either way, if you have not gotten this book and read it yet, do yourself a favor and get it.
Wahl gives a view into not just the LA Galaxy front office, but gives a great look into MLS as a whole in the book. The best part about the league as a whole was the look into the lives of the players on the other end of the pay scale, mainly told through Alan Gordon. Unlike Beckham, Gordon played on a non guaranteed contract, lived in an apartment with 2 other players, and eventually borrowed money from his girlfriend so that he could move into a different apartment. Wahl does a great job of showing the contrasts between the life of Beckham and the lives of most of the rest of his teammates. He regularly throws out the paltry developmental player salary that players make and how those players are working extra jobs just so that they can make rent payments.
Still, the best insight in the book is into the Galaxy front office and the craziness not just from the Beckham signing in general. One of the more interesting things in my mind, was that former Galaxy GM, Alexi Lalas turned down a trade that would have brought Kyle Beckerman to LA for Peter Vagenas and a draft pick, because Lalas and Vagenas were good friends. In Beckham's first season, the issues with Beckham come from all sides as Lalas, 19 Entertainment, Tim Leiweke, the CEO of the Galaxy ownership, and even Beckham himself. Playing when his ankle was clearly well below 100%, playing 3 games in 3 time zones in 6 days as he traveled from New York to London to LA to continue his England career.
In his second season, the "villainy" for the problems with the Galaxy switch to mainly being the meddling of Beckham's handlers, mainly 19 Entertainment and best friend Terry Byrne. Lalas goes from being a villain himself to being undercut by the work of Beckham's handlers. Reading the process that led to the hiring of Ruud Gullit, it was amazing how that hiring was all on the back of Byrne and 19 Entertainment as Lalas was left entirely out of the situation. Wahl almost makes you feel sorry for Lalas about that situation and much of the 2008 season.
Most people have read Landon Donovan's comments made about Beckham that has caused the whole media situation around those two, but Donovan's disagreeing with Lalas in the 2007 season was just as interesting. First the whole issue with Donovan giving up the captain's arm band to Beckham after being pushed by Lalas (who was first pushed by Beckham's handlers). Then later in the season when Lalas goes against the media vote for team MVP and gives the award instead to Chris Klein. Issues that make Donovan seem like a victim of Beckham while at the same time, making him come off as a whiner and every bit of the Landycakes persona that people give him crap for.
There are even mentions of the two games in the 2008 season against the Wizards. During the game in LA, Wahl talks about Gullit calling out Donovan during the half time speech and Donovan becoming pissed about the situation and Beckham not coming to his defense as the captain. After the home game against LA, Wahl talks about Bruce Arena's preceived mistake of playing both Donovan and Beckham so soon after an international break.
Overall, I absolutely loved this book and the insight it gives. Wahl does a great job of capturing everything that seemed to be going on with the team at the time. My one complaint isn't about the writing, but more about how the book ends. Throughout Wahl talks about whether the "Beckham Experiment" will work or fail, but in the end you get no answer. This, though, is mainly due to the fact that the entire experiment isn't over yet, although from the quotes from players in the book, they believe it will end after this season.
Either way, if you have not gotten this book and read it yet, do yourself a favor and get it.
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